Over the past three years, research firms including InMedica, Juniper, Chilmark, ABI, In-Stat, IDC, and Manhattan have been predicting the future size of and eventual revenues generated by mobile health services. This week MobiHealthNews has compiled its list of ten predictions for the next five years of mobile health -- including prognostications for both consumer and enterprise -- beginning with one that has already come to pass.

81 percent of physicians using smartphones by 2012

Manhattan Research has repeatedly predicted that by 2012, 81 percent of physicians would own a smartphone. That level of adoption already occurred in 2011, according to a May 2011 report from Manhattan. The original prediction came from a 2010 Taking the Pulse report, which tracked physician adoption rates of various information technologies. In 2001 only about 30 percent of physicians used smartphones, while in 2009 some 64 percent of physicians were users. Physician smartphone adoption outpaces the general US adult population’s adoption of smartphones, which now stands at just north of 30 percent.

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Remote Patient Monitoring $1.9B by 2014

Revenues from remote patient monitoring services that use mobile networks will rise to $1.9 billion globally by 2014, according to Juniper Research’s 2010 report, “Mobile Healthcare Opportunities: Monitoring, Applications & mHealth Strategies 2010-2014.” Juniper’s prediction is not the first to tackle the question of the mobile health industry’s opportunity in the next four years, but like the others it narrows the industry down to a specific set of services: In this case, remote patient monitoring.